долгосрочный прогноз погоды

In the real article advantages of application of hybrid-type DEVICE are shown in the operative gone into detail long-term prognostication of elements of weather and the key moments of the use are described hybrid-type DEVICE in the working chart of drafting of such prognosis

A special category of long-term forecasts is considered, the object of forecasting is not the anomalies of the hydrometeorological regime (temperature, precipitation), but the dates of its sharp change. Methodological issues are raised to develop adequate methods for estimating such forecasts. The possibility of applying the method of accuracy of short-term forecasts to the justification of long-term forecasts is substantiated.